Early Warning Project
The Early Warning Project assesses the risk of mass atrocities in countries around the world.
Genocide and mass atrocities are devastating crimes in their scale and scope, in their enduring psychic scars for survivors, and in the long-term trauma they cause in societies where they occur. Despite past efforts to address systematic killing, and a body of law formed after the Holocaust to prevent and punish perpetrators, such crimes persist.
We use quantitative and qualitative methods to spotlight countries where mass atrocities have not begun, but where the risk for such violence is high.
We strive to improve this early warning system for mass atrocities by using a variety of publicly available data and forecasting methods.