Search the Entire SiteSearch
Our Statistical Risk Assessment relies on publicly available data that describe various characteristics of each country. Our statistical modeling only considers factors for which we have reliable measures covering nearly all countries of the world for many years. Because mass killing is rare, global data spanning decades are necessary to identify patterns.
We currently use 34 variables from 11 data sources. Below is a list of the data, and their sources, that go into our statistical model, grouped into five categories: basic country characteristics, war and conflict, human rights and civil liberties, governance, and socioeconomic characteristics. For more information on data transformations, download our Data Dictionary. All source data are available on GitHub.
from the Early Warning Project and the Simon-Skjodt Center for the Prevention of Genocide