2014-16 Risk and Ranking

In 2017, we changed our Statistical Risk Assessment methodology. The new model increases the forecasting window to two years, includes both state- and nonstate-led mass killing, and revises some of the data inputs to benefit from newly available sources.

As a result of this change, risk and rank from the assessments produced 2014 through 2016 should not be compared to results from 2017 onward.